The SMV graph by Rollo Tomassi has become one of the cornerstones of Red Pill theory. The chart demonstrates the development of the sexual market value for men and women across time. The graph is quite information dense, and the major difference between the sexes is that as male sexual market value is built, not given. Men need time to build their value. Women on the other hand are given much of their value at birth, discounted due to risk until the value manifest. It is for this reason that I’ve often described female sexual market value as being similar to a financial instrument called an option, while male sexual market value is more similar to a corporate share value.
The graph is probabilistic in that it does not outright state that every man will reach an SMV of 10 at around age 35, and every woman will reach an SMV of 10 in her early twenties, it states that this is the time, ceteris paribus that each sex has the highest probability of reaching the highest SMV they will have in their life. A man who does many of the wrong things between the ages of 15 and 35 cannot expect that his sexual market value will be higher at 35 than at 20. A woman, may not experience her peak until her late 20s, or perhaps experience it in her late teens depending on circumstance.
As I spoke about in my series “On Value“, it is important that we know the distinction between a deterministic view (It will be so) and a probabilistic one (It is likely to be so). For this reason I’ve tended to view the SMV graph in terms of being the time in life where a given sex has both the highest possible value multiplier and the highest amount of beneficial effects applied to them. For instance a man in his mid-thirties has the beneficial effect of being attractive to the broadest possible demographic of women, he has had a decade or two to mature, improve and build himself up. Yet, time has not yet done much damage to his appearance and he has hopefully regained some of his faculties after being dominated by the little head since puberty.
In order to exemplify possible sexual market developments for men, I created 3 theoretical men from broad categories that are often observed in the wild. There is the classical “Early Peak”, “The Norm” and “Late bloomer”. These all have different curves as a result of a mixture of choice and natural proclivities. For instance many of the men who develop a high sexual market value in their teens and twenties do so in part due to good genetics, related to build, height, psychological factors and interests in things that offer social proof such as artistic or athletic endeavors.
The Early Peak
The Early Peak is what most men have in mind when they reference the manosphere construct of “Chad”. This is the high school quarterback, the lead singer in a popular local band or something similar that garners him social proof and demonstrates his social value. Chad may also have other benefits such as being born early in the year, hitting puberty early, having good genetics for height, facial features and the likes. However, these are not requirements. While this man doesn’t have knowledge of red pill theory explicitly, he is an early bloomer in the sexual market place and often starts interacting with girls very early in life. This means that unlike the average man who enters the sexual market place 2 – 5 years after women in his same age group does, Chad enters it at roughly the same time as the women. Thus, he becomes a “natural” though practicing at an earlier age, with women who are equal to him in experience rather than much senior to him.
Many of these men are what BlackDragon refers to as “Alpha Male 1.0” or what Rollo refers to as “Blue Pill Alphas”, they hold the strange combination of intuitive red pill knowledge and blue pill idealism. This often results in them marrying and having children earlier than average, however it also often leads to them being divorced earlier. This is what often leads to the early decline of their SMV, when they find themselves divorced with multiple children in their late twenties to early 30s.
The Norm is the typical average man, he doesn’t know red pill theory, doesn’t pay much attention to his sexual market value, generally does as he wants and if he builds SMV it is coincidental. This man is dedicated to the blue pill illusion, and thus he structures his life around what he has been told women want. He prides himself on being reliable, trustworthy, conscientious, and working hard. He is most likely one of the “Good boys” and lives according to outdated social contracts. He is nice to his parents, works hard in school, gets good grades and is likely to enroll in a major that is a reliable earner such as accounting or engineering.
This is a man who might make the statement “I’m planning to be spontaneous next weekend”, he is comfortable on the path that society has designed for him
Much like The Early Peak happens to fall into activities that inherently increase his SMV, The Norm tends to fall into such activities later, often as a result of his hard work paying off in regards to getting an education, working hard and being dedicated to his employer. As a result of following the outdated social contract he does in fact build himself into a fantastic safety net for women who are about to, or have already hit the wall and are looking for a husband to take care of them. Where the Early Peak engages in activities that appeal to the “Alpha Fucks” element of hypergamy, The Norm falls into activities that appeal to the “Beta Bucks” element.
Their decline tends to follow the natural cycle of marriage to a woman approaching the wall or perhaps having already gone past the point of no return, a few children, only to find themselves either letting themselves go into dad-bod land, finding themselves divorced after the wife decides to scratch her hypergamy-itch or both.
The Late Bloomer
The Late Bloomer is a bit of a special case, however they are rather common in the manosphere. These men may have been Norms earlier in life, but after a relationship collapse or significant life event, they decide to turn their life around. Alternatively, they may have had interests that took them out of the sexual market place and related activities for long periods of time, such as being extremely dedicated to their mission, thus not having had the time or inclination to invest in women or various other things. Some of these men remain clueless well into their 20s and sometimes 30s when significant life-events wake them up.
As a result of their choices earlier in life, these men often find themselves playing a game of “catch-up” in order to improve the neglected parts of their life. While they are often able to make great progress, they also face a much steeper learning curve than the other two. The Early Peak faces perhaps the easiest learning curve in the sexual market place, simply due to the fact that he is training with people on his own level, the norm faces a slightly steeper learning curve as a result of playing catch-up five to ten years after the early peak (the primary competition) began the learning process. Thus, the early peak faces much less competition initially, whereas the late bloomer faces the largest amount of competition and the highest expectancy of skill. In essence, the late bloomer is the intern in a business where the former “new guy” has 5 – 10 years of experience.
The benefit of this is that the late bloomer is often able to maintain their value for longer, due to having a more solid understanding of the principles that serve as a foundation in the sexual market place. Furthermore, if this man has been able to reach his late twenties (or ideally early 30s) without having suffered significant damage such as a divorce or two or children, this gives him the combination of a high disposable income and limited attachments, thus affording him a greater degree of freedom.
Summary and Conclusions
The bump men get in sexual market value in their mid-to-late thirties is a result, not only of having had enough time to build their value over one to two decades, but also a result of market conditions becoming favorable to them. A man between the ages of 35 – 45 can be attractive to women in the age range of 20 – 45, perhaps even higher. He is viewed as an older and more experienced man by women in their twenties and husband material for women between 30 and 45 looking to settle down. This broad market appeal is what drives the demand for these men up, and thus results in the SMV multiplier. This is the same reason that women in their early twenties receive perhaps the most substantial SMV multiplier out of anyone, at this age women are the most universally attractive to all men.
The intent behind showing these three different types of men and the development of their sexual market value over time is to highlight the fact that SMV development is not inherently a deterministic concept. While men do generally get their highest multipliers in their mid-to-late thirties, there are men who peak well over a decade prior to this time and men who peak after this time. In the same way, while a woman’s theoretical peak is in her early twenties there are examples of women who peak later than this, often as a result of having made an effort to undo damage they did earlier in their life. While nature adds its own expiration date to female sexual market value in the form of menopause, there is a certain performance element to female SMV as well. A woman who does a lot of damage to her appearance in her teens and early twenties, and then undoes much of this damage in her mid-to-late twenties can find herself with a higher SMV in her late twenties than she had in her early twenties.
A man who makes very little effort to improve himself and build value in his twenties and early thirties is unlikely to be able to fully capitalize on the large market multiplier he achieves once he reaches his mid-to-late thirties. In fact, he may find himself having declined drastically in value and sexual market options by this time if he has neglected the burden of performance. On the other hand, a man can change from one curve to the other, in fact many men have shared their stories of shifting from “The Norm” to “Late Bloomer” through putting in enough directed effort.
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